UD Oliveirense vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FEI
0 - 0
OLI
80%
15%
6%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
LEX
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
OLI
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 2
POR
18%
25%
58%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
COI
42%
27%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
FEI
3 - 0
CES
83%
13%
4%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
ANA
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
CES
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
LUS
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |