UD Oliveirense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
OLI
4 - 3
POR
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
OLI
2 - 2
EST
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
OVA
3 - 1
OLI
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
OLI
1 - 1
PEN
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 0
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 4
ACA
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNI
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACA
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |