Mutilvera vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 1
UDM
20%
25%
56%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 2
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
UDM
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
UDM
3 - 0
SES
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IDO
0 - 3
UDM
41%
26%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
OBE
1 - 0
HUA
52%
25%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
AOI
1 - 0
OBE
31%
27%
42%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
OBE
4 - 1
CHA
26%
27%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
OBE
0 - 1
TUD
13%
22%
66%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
IZA
1 - 1
OBE
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |