Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Mutilvera vs Manacor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
PBL
1 - 1
UDM
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
UDM
3 - 1
PBL
61%
22%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 4
UDM
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
UDM
1 - 0
OBE
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 1
UDM
20%
25%
56%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manacor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
MNC
0 - 1
SDA
25%
26%
49%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SDA
3 - 0
MNC
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
UDA
2 - 1
MNC
10%
21%
69%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MNC
2 - 0
CLL
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FLN
1 - 0
MNC
21%
25%
54%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |