UD Montecarlo U19 vs IPC La Escuela U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
7º
2º
31
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 72 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
39 | 72 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 66 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 59 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 54 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 53 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 37 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 29 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
40% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
60% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Montecarlo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 3
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
CDE
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SGA
1 - 1
MON
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
EFB
0 - 4
MON
13%
17%
71%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
IPC La Escuela U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ESC
0 - 2
AMI
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UDB
3 - 2
ESC
37%
24%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ESC
1 - 1
ZAR
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 1
ESC
17%
20%
64%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ESC
3 - 1
RAC
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |