Mérida B vs Toros Neza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
NEC
27%
32%
42%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MER
2 - 1
LEO
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UAT
2 - 1
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
3 - 1
MER
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
ALT
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
DOR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 2
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 1
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VER
2 - 2
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |