Mérida B vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
MER
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 0
MER
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
VER
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAP
0 - 0
MER
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
IRA
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
DOR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 4
CAZ
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UAT
5 - 0
CAZ
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 3
TOR
35%
27%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |