Copa RFAF Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Marbella FC vs UD Torre Del Mar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UDT
1 - 2
MAR
15%
22%
64%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
XER
2 - 2
MAR
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 4
MAR
20%
24%
57%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CRD
4 - 2
MAR
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CEU
1 - 0
MAR
47%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Torre Del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UDT
1 - 2
MAR
15%
22%
64%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ALH
0 - 2
UDT
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
UDT
1 - 1
CDR
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
UDT
0 - 3
MAL
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
UDT
2 - 1
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |