Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Marbella FC vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
MAR
31%
30%
40%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
RJA
40%
28%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
POL
2 - 0
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ECI
0 - 1
MAR
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAD
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
ALF
1 - 3
LOR
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
LOR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VEC
2 - 1
LOR
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
4 - 0
PPJ
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 1
LOR
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |