Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 1-1
Marbella FC vs CD Gerena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CRD
1 - 2
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
CDG
1 - 0
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAR
32%
28%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
LUC
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
MAR
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 2
CDG
19%
24%
58%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
CDG
1 - 0
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDG
4 - 0
ARC
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 4
CDG
21%
24%
56%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CDG
3 - 0
BAR
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |