Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-3
Marbella FC vs Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
BAZ
0 - 0
MAR
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
MAR
4 - 0
JER
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
EXT
4 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 5
SEV
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAR
30%
29%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
BAZ
0 - 0
MAR
47%
27%
27%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
BAZ
2 - 3
GRA
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
FUE
0 - 0
BAZ
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
BAZ
3 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
BAZ
1 - 1
UBE
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |