Marbella FC vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
6º
1º
39
1º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAG
8%
12%
80%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDT
3 - 2
MAR
11%
22%
67%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
TOR
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
HUE
3 - 3
MAR
16%
21%
64%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
ATL
81%
13%
7%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 1
RJA
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HUE
0 - 0
ARE
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ARE
3 - 0
CHM
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALM
4 - 0
ARE
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ARE
2 - 1
MAL
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |