Marbella FC vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
5 - 0
ALH
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
INT
1 - 4
MAR
6%
14%
80%
|
45 | 5 | 40 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
ALH
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
HUE
3 - 2
MAR
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
JUV
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
ALM
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ALM
5 - 0
ATL
70%
18%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
UDT
1 - 0
ALM
21%
23%
57%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
MOT
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
RJA
1 - 5
ALM
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |