Marbella FC vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
AGU
0 - 1
MAR
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
CDL
2 - 2
MAR
42%
29%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 0
SEV
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
CCF
2 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MAR
4 - 1
MEL
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
MER
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
BAZ
3 - 1
ALC
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 2
CAR
35%
29%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALC
44%
28%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |