Marbella FC vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CDL
2 - 0
MAR
40%
30%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 3
CCF
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
SEV
1 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
AGD
55%
25%
19%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAR
31%
31%
39%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MER
1 - 1
ALC
43%
29%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDB
31%
29%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
TAL
3 - 0
ALC
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALG
37%
30%
33%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |