Marbella FC vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CDL
0 - 1
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ALG
2 - 0
MAR
52%
27%
22%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
TAL
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CDZ
0 - 2
MAR
36%
29%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 0
JER
22%
26%
53%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
EXT
2 - 2
ALC
75%
17%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
SEV
22%
29%
50%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 0
MEL
25%
27%
48%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CDL
1 - 0
ALC
69%
20%
11%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |