Marbella FC U19 vs CD Vázquez Cultural Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
16º
16º
28
6º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 85 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 65 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 62 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 52 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 47 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 37 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 33 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 31 |
16º
|
53% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 14 |
17º
|
66% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 10 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
81.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAJ
0 - 0
UDM
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SÉN
0 - 2
UDM
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UDM
3 - 0
CD2
39%
26%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 4
UDM
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UDM
3 - 0
COR
36%
26%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Vázquez Cultural Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CDV
0 - 2
SEV
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CDO
2 - 3
CDV
13%
18%
70%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDV
4 - 1
GRA
60%
21%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
CDV
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
4 - 0
MAL
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |