Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
UD Mahón vs Reus Deportiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
REU
1 - 0
UDM
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
UDM
1 - 0
ACC
51%
22%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
ACC
1 - 1
UDM
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
LEV
2 - 0
UDM
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
UDM
1 - 1
TCF
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reus Deportiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
CON
6 - 0
REU
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
REU
0 - 0
EUR
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
REU
1 - 0
UDM
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
ACC
1 - 1
REU
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
REU
1 - 1
CEM
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |