UD Mahón vs Penya Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
UDM
35%
21%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 1
SLL
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FRR
4 - 1
UDM
45%
23%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDM
0 - 1
MNC
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UDM
2 - 2
SDM
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PCE
4 - 1
SLL
74%
16%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FRR
1 - 0
PCE
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
PCE
1 - 3
MNC
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SDM
3 - 0
PCE
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PCE
4 - 0
ADC
87%
10%
4%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |