UD Mahón vs Penya Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 2
MER
34%
25%
42%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MER
3 - 2
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 0
UDM
37%
23%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 1
ALA
59%
20%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
UDM
3 - 0
MNC
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SDM
1 - 2
PCE
79%
14%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PCE
1 - 5
SDM
17%
22%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PCE
1 - 1
FRR
14%
19%
67%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FRR
2 - 1
PCE
81%
13%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
MJG
2 - 1
PCE
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |