UD Los Vélez vs Calero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
50.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5.8%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+775%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Los Vélez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
OJO
0 - 3
UDL
32%
21%
47%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
UDL
3 - 2
TCO
39%
21%
40%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 2
VDC
32%
22%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
EST
6 - 2
UDL
62%
18%
20%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
ING
3 - 7
UDL
37%
22%
42%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
3 - 0
ING
66%
16%
18%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
DOR
3 - 1
CAL
60%
18%
22%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
CAL
33%
19%
48%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
4 - 2
MAJ
67%
16%
17%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
LRO
1 - 0
CAL
24%
17%
59%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |