UD Llanera vs Rayo Cantabria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
13º
18º
16º
25
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 76 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 53 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 52 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 51 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 45 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 37 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
17º
|
37.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 25 |
18º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
62% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Llanera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 2
ESC
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
UDL
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 1
UPL
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 1
UDL
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 0
PON
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
BER
3 - 3
RAC
33%
27%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 1
COX
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AVI
2 - 2
RAC
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 2
CDG
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
NUM
1 - 0
RAC
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |