Lanzarote vs Villa Sta. Brigida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
ULP
2 - 0
LAN
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
LAN
1 - 2
LUG
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CDO
1 - 0
LAN
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
LAN
1 - 1
VEC
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
RAY
0 - 0
LAN
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Sta. Brigida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
RSI
1 - 2
UDV
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
UDV
1 - 1
ULP
29%
30%
42%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
UDV
0 - 1
PON
13%
24%
63%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CEL
3 - 1
UDV
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
UDV
0 - 0
SSR
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |