Lanzarote vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ULP
1 - 3
LAN
56%
26%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
RAC
2 - 1
LAN
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
LAN
3 - 1
PON
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CEL
2 - 2
LAN
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
LAN
2 - 2
ATB
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CDO
0 - 2
PON
28%
26%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CEL
2 - 0
CDO
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CDO
0 - 1
ATB
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
LEG
0 - 1
CDO
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CDO
4 - 2
FUE
41%
26%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |