Lanzarote vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
LAN
0 - 1
ULP
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 1
LAN
20%
28%
52%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
LAN
2 - 1
LEG
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
ATH
6 - 0
LAN
86%
11%
3%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
LAN
1 - 0
SSR
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 1
UDF
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 2
ALC
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
VEC
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
ATB
0 - 2
ALC
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
RAY
2 - 0
ALC
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |