Lanzarote vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
COR
0 - 0
LAN
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
LAN
2 - 0
ALC
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 1
LAN
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 1
CDO
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 3
LAN
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
ULP
32%
29%
39%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CUL
1 - 0
ALC
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
ZAM
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PPJ
1 - 2
ALC
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
ALC
3 - 4
PON
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |