Gran Tarajal vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
12º
16º
15º
25
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Tarajal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UDG
2 - 2
CSU
42%
25%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
UPR
1 - 1
UDG
44%
24%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ARU
0 - 1
UDG
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDG
2 - 1
LPA
24%
24%
52%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VSB
3 - 1
UDG
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARU
1 - 1
UDI
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 0
LPA
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VSB
4 - 0
UDI
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
UDI
1 - 4
LAN
23%
25%
53%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDM
3 - 0
UDI
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |