Fuerteventura vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuerteventura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
3 - 1
UDF
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
UDF
1 - 2
VEC
32%
29%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 0
UDF
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PPJ
1 - 3
UDF
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ALI
3 - 0
UDF
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ALF
2 - 3
RMC
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALF
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 2
DBN
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 1
AGU
37%
27%
35%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 0
AGU
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |