Fuerteventura vs CDA Navalcarnero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuerteventura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LAN
4 - 1
UDF
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
UDF
0 - 2
CAR
35%
30%
36%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CIU
2 - 1
UDF
28%
28%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
UDF
1 - 0
LPA
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ATB
0 - 0
UDF
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NAV
4 - 1
RMC
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
NAV
67%
19%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 1
AGU
30%
27%
44%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
LOR
4 - 0
NAV
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 0
IMP
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |