Fuerteventura vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuerteventura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PPJ
2 - 1
UDF
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
UDF
1 - 0
ULP
27%
27%
46%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 0
UDF
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
UDL
16%
25%
60%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
VEC
1 - 0
ALC
52%
26%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
ATB
33%
29%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 0
BET
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
BET
1 - 2
ALC
57%
24%
20%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |