UD Fornacense vs Club Promesas Belenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+673%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
4 - 3
UDF
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 0
UDF
28%
22%
51%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
UDF
62%
19%
19%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
9 - 1
OLV
47%
20%
33%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
1 - 2
CDB
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Club Promesas Belenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
CDB
47%
22%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BIE
3 - 1
BEL
54%
21%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 3
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACE
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OLV
0 - 2
BEL
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |