UD España vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
ALC
2 - 0
UDE
74%
15%
12%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
UDE
3 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
MLL
4 - 1
UDE
74%
14%
12%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
UDE
1 - 0
UDL
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
UDE
4 - 1
CDT
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
VAL
4 - 1
MEL
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MAL
3 - 0
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
CAT
4 - 1
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
VAL
2 - 0
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
MUR
3 - 2
VAL
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |