UD España vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
HER
4 - 1
UDE
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
UDE
2 - 0
VAL
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
ALC
2 - 0
UDE
74%
15%
12%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
UDE
3 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
MLL
4 - 1
UDE
74%
14%
12%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
MEL
3 - 1
MUR
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
MUR
2 - 3
UDL
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDT
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MUR
1 - 1
XER
73%
15%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
BAL
2 - 2
MUR
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |