UD España vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
UDE
3 - 0
GRA
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
CDB
6 - 2
UDE
72%
15%
13%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
UDE
6 - 3
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
HER
4 - 1
UDE
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
UDE
2 - 0
VAL
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
MEL
1 - 1
CDB
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
MEL
2 - 1
GRA
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
HER
2 - 1
MEL
67%
18%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
MEL
3 - 1
MUR
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
MEL
2 - 2
ALC
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |