UD España vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
VAL
3 - 1
UDE
66%
18%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
UDE
1 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
CAS
3 - 0
UDE
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
UDE
6 - 0
MLL
72%
15%
13%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
UDL
2 - 0
UDE
65%
19%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
HER
3 - 0
CDT
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
HER
1 - 2
UDL
63%
20%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
BAL
1 - 0
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
XER
1 - 2
HER
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
HER
1 - 0
VAL
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |