UD España vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
MLL
4 - 1
UDE
74%
14%
12%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
UDE
1 - 0
UDL
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
UDE
4 - 1
CDT
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
BAL
2 - 4
UDE
78%
13%
10%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
UDE
3 - 1
XER
64%
18%
18%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
MEL
1 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
CAS
1 - 0
GRA
40%
24%
35%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
CAS
4 - 1
CDB
70%
16%
14%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
HER
3 - 3
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
CAS
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |