UD España vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1956 |
CDC
1 - 3
UDE
62%
19%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
UDE
1 - 1
MAL
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
UDE
1 - 0
CDT
58%
21%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
GRA
2 - 4
UDE
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
EXT
3 - 1
UDE
68%
17%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
PUL
1 - 5
GRA
62%
20%
19%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
EXT
3 - 0
PUL
77%
13%
10%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
PUL
2 - 2
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
XER
4 - 0
PUL
73%
15%
12%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
RJA
4 - 1
PUL
81%
11%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |