União da Serra vs Pêro Pinheiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
10º
10º
48
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
UDA
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDA
0 - 1
SIN
32%
26%
41%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
UDA
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 1
BEN
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDR
1 - 2
UDA
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PER
2 - 3
SER
37%
28%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
PER
16%
21%
62%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
LOU
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SAB
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
PER
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |