União da Serra vs Coruchense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
10º
10º
33
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SIN
3 - 1
UDA
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 2
USA
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
4 - 3
UDA
53%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDA
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 2
1DE
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Coruchense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
COR
2 - 2
SER
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 3
COR
14%
21%
66%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
LOU
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 0
COR
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |