La Cruz Villanovense Sub 19 vs Rayo C. Alcobendas U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
11º
13º
13º
26
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 77 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 74 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 56 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 51 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 40 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
15º
|
49.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 11 |
16º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
66% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Cruz Villanovense Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 2
UDL
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 1
RAY
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 1
UDL
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 3
ALC
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RCA
4 - 1
UDL
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo C. Alcobendas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RCA
3 - 1
ALC
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 2
RCA
13%
18%
69%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RCA
3 - 0
VAD
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 1
RCA
90%
8%
3%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RCA
4 - 1
UDL
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |