La Cruz Villanovense Sub 19 vs Rayo C. Alcobendas U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
15º
9º
48
5º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Cruz Villanovense Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 0
UAD
23%
21%
56%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
UDL
47%
23%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
UDL
0 - 0
RMJ
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 0
UDL
38%
23%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UDL
4 - 0
SSR
62%
18%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo C. Alcobendas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
RCA
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
RCA
2 - 1
FUE
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GET
1 - 1
RCA
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RCA
1 - 0
VAD
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CIA
1 - 2
RCA
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |