La Cruz Villanovense Sub 19 vs Alcorcón U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
11º
13º
13º
12
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 77 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 74 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 56 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 51 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 40 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
15º
|
49.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 11 |
16º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
66% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Cruz Villanovense Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VAD
2 - 0
UDL
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 1
RMA
6%
12%
82%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 1
UDL
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 1
GET
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
4 - 0
UDL
90%
8%
3%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 0
FUE
42%
25%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RAY
4 - 0
ALC
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 4
LEG
11%
20%
69%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UAD
0 - 0
ALC
69%
19%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
RMJ
11%
19%
70%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +2 |