UD Castellonense vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
6º
6º
1
7º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
4 | 73 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 64 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 64 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 61 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 57 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 53 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 50 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 43 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 42 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 31 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 25 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 23 |
18º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
31% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 61% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 3
UDC
43%
26%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TCF
0 - 2
UDC
72%
18%
9%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 4
ATZ
30%
27%
44%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
UDC
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 0
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
ATH
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 6
VIL
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 0
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 1
SIL
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |