UD Castellonense vs Ontinyent 1931 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
7º
7º
1
11º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 74 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 65 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 59 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 54 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
|
1º
|
7 | 53 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 52 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 41 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 35 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 32 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 32 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 30 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 30 |
18º
|
18% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
36% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 1
CAL
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ROD
0 - 2
UDC
40%
26%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UDC
2 - 0
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 3
UDC
43%
26%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TCF
0 - 2
UDC
72%
18%
9%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Ontinyent 1931
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PCF
1 - 0
ONT
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ONT
1 - 1
NUC
20%
22%
58%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 0
ONT
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ONT
0 - 1
ATZ
28%
27%
45%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATZ
1 - 1
ONT
60%
23%
18%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |