UD Castellonense vs CF Benidorm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
6º
6º
4
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
4 | 73 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 64 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 64 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 61 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 57 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 53 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 50 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 43 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 42 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 31 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 25 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 23 |
18º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
31% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 41% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ROD
0 - 2
UDC
40%
26%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UDC
2 - 0
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 3
UDC
43%
26%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TCF
0 - 2
UDC
72%
18%
9%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 4
ATZ
30%
27%
44%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
CF Benidorm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 0
VAL
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PCF
1 - 2
CAL
68%
19%
14%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 2
CAL
84%
12%
5%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ELC
3 - 3
CAL
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SEL
2 - 1
CAL
35%
23%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |