UD Carrión vs UD Almansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
QRE
4 - 0
UDC
65%
21%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
UDC
2 - 4
ILL
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
6 - 1
UDC
75%
17%
9%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UDC
2 - 0
TOL
28%
25%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AZU
5 - 0
UDC
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
UD Almansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 1
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CDC
1 - 0
ALM
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 2
UBC
28%
25%
48%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
ALM
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |