Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-5
Cacabelense vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
GRA
3 - 2
CAC
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CAC
0 - 0
ALO
58%
23%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
LEN
4 - 0
CAC
66%
20%
13%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
CAC
2 - 2
ARO
55%
24%
20%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
AVI
3 - 1
CAC
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
AVI
3 - 2
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
1 - 3
AVI
55%
26%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
AVI
2 - 0
DEP
65%
22%
13%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
GRA
2 - 1
AVI
66%
21%
13%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
AVI
3 - 1
CAC
70%
18%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |