UD Bellavista vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Bellavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
UDB
0 - 0
OSU
28%
25%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
UDB
0 - 2
VEN
19%
23%
59%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CDP
2 - 1
UDB
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
UDB
60%
22%
19%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
UDB
1 - 1
MAI
35%
26%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
CAM
49%
24%
27%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
EST
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
EST
0 - 2
CAC
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SOL
2 - 0
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
UDB
60%
22%
19%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |