UD Bellavista vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Bellavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
UDB
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UDB
3 - 0
UDR
58%
21%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SOL
2 - 0
UDB
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
UDB
7 - 2
CDP
71%
17%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VEN
0 - 1
UDB
37%
23%
41%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UDR
2 - 3
EST
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
CDP
56%
22%
22%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PIL
1 - 1
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
LCF
50%
23%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
EST
65%
20%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |