Alzira U19 vs Murcia Promises U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
12º
16º
16º
14
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 68 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 56 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 47 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 47 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 44 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 35 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 24 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 18 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
95% | 69% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzira U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
6 - 0
ALZ
88%
8%
3%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALZ
0 - 2
CAS
33%
24%
44%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KEL
3 - 0
ALZ
36%
27%
37%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALZ
0 - 0
LEV
10%
18%
72%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CDR
1 - 0
ALZ
64%
19%
16%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Murcia Promises U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 1
ALB
46%
23%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
ACA
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 1
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
ACA
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 2
ELC
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |